MLB Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates (June 14, 2025)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (29-42) face the Chicago Cubs (42-28) at Wrigley Field on Saturday at 2:20pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Mike Burrows is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Matthew Boyd is the probable pitcher for the Cubs. The Cubs are favored to win at -235, while the Pirates are at +188. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -120 and UNDER at -103.
- The Pirates (-121) have a 33-38 Run Line record this season, while the Cubs (+100) hold a record of 36-34.
- The Pirates have a 26-42-3 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total runs line, 42 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Cubs have a 34-29-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Pirates are averaging 3.2 runs per game this season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Cubs are averaging +2.2 more at 5.4 runs (2nd).
- In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.0 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Cubs are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Cubs are at an impressive .256 (ranking 4th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting an underwhelming .227 (27th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Cubs are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 96 to rank T4th. Alternatively, the Pirates are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 49 (29th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cubs have been outstanding this season, recording 372 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB. Comparatively, the Pirates have performed poorly in this area, recording only 219 RBIs to rank 30th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Cubs have an earned run average of 3.63 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 3.74 (12th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 528 this season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cubs rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 544.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .245 against the Cubs this season (17th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .231 (8th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2025.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 13-13-45 | 8-5-25 | 5-8-20 | 4-1-16 | 9-12-29 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-10 |
| Cubs | 17-16-37 | 8-5-18 | 9-11-17 | 14-11-24 | 3-5-13 | 0-0-2 | 3-2-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Pirates are +165 to lead after three innings, while the Cubs are -215.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2025.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 25-23-23 | 14-11-13 | 11-12-10 | 9-6-6 | 16-17-17 | 0-0-0 | 4-1-5 |
| Cubs | 28-22-20 | 16-6-9 | 11-15-11 | 20-13-16 | 8-9-4 | 1-1-0 | 3-2-5 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 42-29 in Pirates games this season. The Cubs have a 36-34 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Pirates recorded a 2-1 extra innings victory over the Cubs at Wrigley Field yesterday. Oneil Cruz went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.
