MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays (June 15, 2025)

The Tampa Bay Rays (38-32) face the New York Mets (45-26) at Citi Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Shane Baz is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Griffin Canning is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -169, while the Rays are at +138. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -114.

  • The Rays (-157) have a 36-34 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+129) hold a record of 39-32.
  • The Rays have a 27-40-3 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total runs line, 40 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 27-41-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging 4.6 (7th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 3.8 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 3.4 runs (2nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .248 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .249 (14th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 91 (6th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 74 (15th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 300 RBIs to rank T11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 319 RBIs to rank 7th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 2.88 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.50 (7th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 561 this season, ranking T20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 628.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Mets this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .236 (12th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2025.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 15-20-35 12-11-20 3-9-15 11-9-18 4-11-17 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Mets 18-11-42 12-4-20 6-7-22 15-8-30 3-3-12 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Rays are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are -145.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2025.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 24-28-18 16-19-8 8-9-10 15-13-10 9-15-8 0-0-0 2-4-4
    Mets 34-21-16 21-9-6 13-12-10 24-15-14 10-6-2 0-0-0 7-2-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 33-37 in Rays games this season. The Mets have a 42-29 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded an 8-4 victory over the Mets at Citi Field yesterday. Taylor Walls went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Rays have now won five straight against the Mets.