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MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers (March 27, 2026)

The Detroit Tigers (1-0) face the San Diego Padres (0-1) at Petco Park on Friday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Framber Valdez is the probable pitcher for the Tigers, while Michael King is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Padres are favored to win at -126, while the Tigers are at +104. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Tigers (+168) have a 79-92 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Padres (-205) hold a record of 90-76 across the same span.
  • The Tigers have an 87-74-10 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 87 games have gone over the total runs line, 74 have gone under and 10 have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 70-91-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Tigers have scored 4.7 runs per game since the beginning of last season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Padres have averaged 4.3 over the same span (18th).
  • In the field, the Tigers have allowed 4.3 runs per game since the beginning of last season (16th in the league), while the Padres have allowed an average of 3.9 runs over that span (2nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Tigers are at .247 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting .252 (8th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Padres have hit 153 (28th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Tigers have managed 199 (10th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Tigers have recorded 732 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Padres have recorded 665 RBIs to rank 19th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Padres have an earned run average of 3.66 since the beginning of last season (3rd in the Majors), while The Tigers have an ERA of 3.93 (15th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Tigers have recorded 1382 since the beginning of last season, ranking 14th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 7th for total strikeouts, recording 1435.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .226 against the Padres since the beginning of last season (1st in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Tigers' opponents are at .241 (12th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Tigers 41-35-95 23-15-45 18-20-50 27-21-64 14-14-31 0-0-0
    Padres 35-41-90 19-19-44 16-22-46 22-26-45 13-15-45 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

The Tigers are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Padres are -120.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Tigers 75-60-36 39-26-18 36-34-18 51-34-27 24-26-9 0-0-0
    Padres 61-63-42 33-27-22 28-36-20 37-35-21 24-28-21 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 94-77 in Tigers games since the beginning of last season. The Padres have an 85-81 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Tigers recorded an 8-2 victory over the Padres at Petco Park yesterday. Kevin McGonigle went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.