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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals (March 28, 2026)

The Kansas City Royals (0-1) face the Atlanta Braves (1-0) at Truist Park on Saturday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Reynaldo Lopez is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -156, while the Royals are at +129. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • These teams share a 78-85 Run Line record since the beginning of last season. The Royals are -171 to cover the run line while the Braves are +141.
  • The Royals have a 71-91-1 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 71 games have gone over the total runs line, 91 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Braves have a 74-79-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Royals have scored 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves have averaged 4.5 over the same span (13th).
  • In the field, the Royals have allowed just 3.9 runs per game since the beginning of last season (4th in the league), while the Braves have allowed an average of 4.5 runs over that span (20th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Royals are at .247 (ranking 16th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .245 (18th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Braves have hit 193 (11th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 159 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 638 RBIs to rank 26th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 707 RBIs to rank 13th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have an earned run average of 4.33 since the beginning of last season (22nd in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 3.75 (6th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 1281 since the beginning of last season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 1424.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .246 against the Braves since the beginning of last season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .241 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Royals 46-27-90 22-10-49 24-17-41 21-14-39 25-13-51 0-0-0
    Braves 41-38-84 22-18-42 19-19-42 29-25-54 12-13-30 0-1-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Royals 62-58-43 30-26-25 32-32-18 31-24-19 31-34-24 0-0-0
    Braves 52-76-35 29-39-14 22-37-21 35-48-25 17-28-10 1-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 88-75 in Royals games since the beginning of last season. The Braves have an 80-83 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 6-0 victory over the Royals at Truist Park yesterday. Ozzie Albies was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.