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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals (March 29, 2026)

The Kansas City Royals (0-2) face the Atlanta Braves (2-0) at Truist Park on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Seth Lugo is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Grant Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -156, while the Royals are at +129. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Royals (-168) have a 78-86 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Braves (+139) hold a record of 79-85 across the same span.
  • The Royals have a 71-91-2 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 71 games have gone over the total runs line, 91 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 74-79-11 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Royals have scored 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves have averaged 4.5 over the same span (13th).
  • In the field, the Royals have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (4th in the league), while the Braves have allowed an average of 4.5 runs over that span (20th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Royals are at .246 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .246 (17th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Braves have hit 194 (11th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 160 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 640 RBIs to rank 26th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 713 RBIs to rank 13th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have an earned run average of 4.31 since the beginning of last season (21st in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 3.77 (6th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 1289 since the beginning of last season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 1432.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .246 against the Braves since the beginning of last season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .242 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Royals 46-27-91 22-10-49 24-17-42 21-14-39 25-13-52 0-0-0
    Braves 41-38-85 22-18-43 19-19-42 29-25-55 12-13-30 0-1-0

Lead After Three Innings

The Royals are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Braves are -145.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Royals 62-58-44 30-26-25 32-32-19 31-24-19 31-34-25 0-0-0
    Braves 52-76-36 29-39-15 22-37-21 35-48-26 17-28-10 1-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 89-75 in Royals games since the beginning of last season. The Braves have an 81-83 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 6-2 victory over the Royals at Truist Park yesterday. Dominic Smith went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 4 RBIs.