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MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres (April 8, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (5-6) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (7-4) at PNC Park on Wednesday at 12:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Michael King is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Mitch Keller is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Pirates opened as favorites but this matchup has since become a pick'em, with both the Pirates and Padres at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Padres (+151) have a 5-6 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (-183) hold a record of 7-4.
  • The Padres have a 4-6-1 O/U record this season (meaning four games have gone over the total runs line, six have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Pirates have a 5-6-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 3.5 runs per game this season (T23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging +1.3 more at 4.7 runs (T10th).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (T13th in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 3.6 runs (9th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .209 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting .249 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 12 to rank T6th. Alternatively, the Padres are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 6 (29th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have been outstanding this season, recording 52 RBIs to rank T6th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Padres have performed poorly in this area, recording only 35 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Pirates have an earned run average of 3.27 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 3.99 (16th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 102 this season, ranking T11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 111.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .217 against the Pirates this season (10th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .248 (21st).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 1-2-8 1-2-3 0-0-5 1-0-3 0-2-5 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Pirates 3-1-7 1-0-4 2-1-3 2-0-3 1-1-4 0-0-0 3-0-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 3-5-3 2-3-1 1-2-2 2-1-1 1-4-2 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Pirates 5-1-5 2-0-3 3-1-2 3-0-2 2-1-3 0-0-0 5-0-5

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 8-3 in Padres games this season. The Pirates have a 7-4 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Pirates recorded a 7-1 victory over the Padres at PNC Park yesterday. That result snapped the Padres' seven-game winning streak against the Pirates at PNC Park. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Xander Bogaerts did what he could, hitting a home run.