MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees (April 11, 2026)
The New York Yankees (8-5) face the Tampa Bay Rays (6-7) at Tropicana Field on Saturday at 6:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Fried is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Nick Martinez is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Yankees are favored to win at -207, while the Rays are at +169. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Yankees (-112) have an 8-5 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (-108) hold a record of 6-7.
- The Yankees have a 4-7-2 O/U record this season (meaning four games have gone over the total runs line, seven have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Rays have an 8-3-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Yankees are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.6 (8th).
- In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 2.6 runs per game this season (1st in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 5.5 runs (28th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .255 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting an underwhelming .201 (28th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 12 (T14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 12 (T14th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 51 RBIs to rank T17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 56 RBIs to rank T10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 2.50 (2nd in the Majors), while the Rays are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.80 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 119 this season, ranking T15th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank T25th for total strikeouts, recording 103.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Rays this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees' opponents are at .213 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 5-1-7 | 3-1-2 | 2-0-5 | 4-1-7 | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
| Rays | 3-2-8 | 0-1-3 | 3-1-5 | 1-2-6 | 2-0-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Yankees are -180 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are +140.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 7-4-2 | 3-2-1 | 4-2-1 | 6-4-2 | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
| Rays | 7-4-2 | 2-1-1 | 5-3-1 | 4-4-1 | 3-0-1 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 6-7 in Yankees games this season. The Rays have a 7-6 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Rays recorded a 5-3 victory over the Yankees at Tropicana Field yesterday. Yandy Diaz was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Yankees' five-game winning streak against the Rays.
