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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees (May 11, 2026)

The New York Yankees (26-15) face the Baltimore Orioles (18-23) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday at 6:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ryan Weathers is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Brandon Young is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Yankees are favored to win at -181, while the Orioles are at +149. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Yankees (-110) have a 24-17 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (-110) hold a record of 17-24.
  • The Yankees have a 17-21-3 O/U record this season (meaning 17 games have gone over the total runs line, 21 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 24-16-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Yankees are averaging 5.2 runs per game this season (T3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging 4.4 (11th).
  • In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.5 runs per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 5.4 runs (28th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Yankees are at .239 (ranking 16th in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .232 (24th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 42 (16th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 63 (1st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 204 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 178 RBIs to rank 11th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.14 (T1st in the Majors), while the Orioles are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.74 (27th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 358 this season, ranking 9th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank T16th for total strikeouts, recording 342.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .220 against the Yankees this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .266 (28th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Yankees 17-8-16 10-5-5 7-3-11 15-8-15 2-0-1 0-0-0 6-2-2
    Orioles 5-9-27 3-3-15 2-6-12 3-3-19 2-6-8 0-0-0 1-5-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Yankees 23-10-8 12-4-4 11-6-4 20-10-8 3-0-0 0-0-0 6-2-2
    Orioles 10-19-12 7-8-6 3-11-6 6-10-9 4-9-3 0-0-0 1-6-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 15-26 in Yankees games this season. The Orioles have a 25-16 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Yankees recorded a 12-1 extra innings victory over the Orioles at Yankee Stadium on Monday. Aaron Judge was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 4 RBIs. The Yankees have now won nine straight against the Orioles.