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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins (May 13, 2026)

The Miami Marlins (19-23) face the Minnesota Twins (19-23) at Target Field on Wednesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Meyer is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Simeon Woods-Richardson is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Marlins are favored to win at -126, while the Twins are at +104. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Marlins (+129) have a 17-25 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-156) hold a record of 21-21.
  • The Marlins have a 23-17-2 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total runs line, 17 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 24-15-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (T19th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.5 more at 4.7 runs (8th).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (24th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .244 (ranking 12th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .235 (18th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 46 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 32 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 166 RBIs to rank 25th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 186 RBIs to rank T9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.51 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.07 (15th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 349 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T27th for total strikeouts, recording 317.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .248 against the Twins this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .223 (6th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 8-10-24 5-5-16 3-5-8 5-4-18 3-6-6 0-0-0 1-4-5
    Twins 10-8-24 8-1-12 2-7-12 2-1-4 8-7-20 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Marlins are -130 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are +100.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 17-16-9 11-9-6 6-7-3 12-8-7 5-8-2 0-0-0 3-5-2
    Twins 18-13-11 10-4-7 8-9-4 5-1-1 13-12-10 0-0-0 5-1-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 21-21 in Marlins games this season. The Twins have a 24-18 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded a 3-0 victory over the Marlins at Target Field yesterday. Ryan Jeffers went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.