MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (May 18, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (21-26) face the Tampa Bay Rays (30-15) at Tropicana Field on Monday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Trevor Rogers is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Shane McClanahan is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -148, while the Orioles are at +123. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -116 and UNDER at -104.
- The Orioles (-175) have a 20-27 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+144) hold a record of 27-18.
- The Orioles have a 25-20-2 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total runs line, 20 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 23-19-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.6 (9th).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing a whopping 5.3 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (7th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .232 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .258 (3rd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 38 (T25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 49 (T16th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 202 RBIs to rank T9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 194 RBIs to rank 16th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.59 (6th in the Majors), while the Orioles are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.74 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 386 this season, ranking 17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 348.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .224 against the Rays this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .261 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 6-10-31 | 3-4-17 | 3-6-14 | 4-3-20 | 2-7-11 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
| Rays | 12-8-25 | 5-5-11 | 7-3-14 | 7-6-14 | 5-2-11 | 0-0-0 | 5-0-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 12-22-13 | 8-10-6 | 4-12-7 | 7-10-10 | 5-12-3 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Rays | 20-15-10 | 10-6-5 | 10-9-5 | 14-10-3 | 6-5-7 | 0-0-0 | 5-2-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 29-18 in Orioles games this season. The Rays have a 24-21 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Orioles recorded a 6-5 victory over the Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards when these teams last met on September 25, 2025. Ryan Mountcastle was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs.
