MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets (May 23, 2026)

The New York Mets (22-29) face the Miami Marlins (23-29) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Max Meyer is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -115, while the Mets are at -105. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -119.

• The Mets (+151) have a 20-31 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-184) hold a record of 20-32.
• The Mets have a 21-27-3 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total runs line, 27 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 32-18-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Mets are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.3 (17th).
• In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (22nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

• Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .230 (ranking 26th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .243 (11th).

Home Runs

• In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 42 (26th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 46 (21st).

Runs Batted In

• Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 195 RBIs to rank 25th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 212 RBIs to rank T15th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

• The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.35 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 3.82 (10th).

Strikeouts

• Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 472 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 435.

Opponent Batting Average

• Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Marlins this season (8th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .232 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

• Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Neutral	Last 10
Mets	11-12-28	7-5-12	4-7-16	10-9-19	1-3-9	0-0-0	2-3-5
Marlins	11-14-27	7-7-17	4-7-10	6-5-20	5-9-7	0-0-0	3-4-3

Lead After Three Innings

• Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Neutral	Last 10
Mets	15-23-13	9-11-4	6-12-9	12-17-9	3-6-4	0-0-0	2-7-1
Marlins	21-21-10	13-11-7	8-10-3	14-9-8	7-12-2	0-0-0	4-5-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

• The NRFI is 26-25 in Mets games this season. The Marlins have a 24-28 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 2-1 victory over the Mets at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Esteury Ruiz led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.