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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals (May 23, 2026)

The Washington Nationals (25-27) face the Atlanta Braves (36-16) at Truist Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jake Irvin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Grant Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -193, while the Nationals are at +158. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Nationals (-126) have a 32-20 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+104) hold a record of 35-17.
  • The Nationals have a 33-17-2 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total runs line, 17 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 24-23-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 5.5 runs per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging 5.4 (2nd).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.8 runs per game this season (30th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.4 runs (2nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .244 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .266 (1st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 72 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 63 (T5th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 266 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 275 RBIs to rank 1st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.08 (1st in the Majors), while the Nationals are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.96 (29th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 412 this season, ranking T19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 7th for total strikeouts, recording 459.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .207 against the Braves this season (1st in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .259 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 16-11-25 9-6-11 7-5-14 0-1-2 16-10-23 0-0-0 1-3-6
    Braves 15-13-24 8-3-14 7-10-10 12-13-16 3-0-8 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 18-22-12 10-11-5 8-11-7 1-0-2 17-22-10 0-0-0 4-4-2
    Braves 25-17-10 13-6-6 12-11-4 21-12-8 4-5-2 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.

  • The NRFI is 25-27 in Nationals games this season. The Braves have a 22-30 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 5-4 extra innings victory over the Nationals at Truist Park yesterday. CJ Abrams was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a triple and recording 3 RBIs. The Braves have now won three straight against the Nationals.