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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays (May 27, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (34-18) face the Baltimore Orioles (25-30) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday at 6:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Steven Matz is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Chris Bassitt is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Rays are favored to win at -115, while the Orioles are at -105. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Rays (+141) have a 31-21 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (-171) hold a record of 24-31.
  • The Rays have a 25-24-3 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total runs line, 24 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 28-24-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging 4.4 (14th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (9th in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 5.3 runs (28th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .260 (ranking 2nd in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .233 (21st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 60 (T12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 43 (28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 230 RBIs to rank 12th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 238 RBIs to rank 10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.44 (5th in the Majors), while the Orioles are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.73 (27th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 405 this season, ranking T27th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 17th for total strikeouts, recording 447.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .260 against the Orioles this season (29th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .228 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 14-8-30 6-5-13 8-3-17 9-6-16 5-2-14 0-0-0 4-0-6
    Orioles 6-14-35 3-7-19 3-7-16 4-5-22 2-9-13 0-0-0 1-4-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 21-16-15 11-6-7 10-10-8 15-11-5 6-5-10 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Orioles 14-24-17 10-11-8 4-13-9 8-11-12 6-13-5 0-0-0 3-3-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 28-24 in Rays games this season. The Orioles have a 32-23 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded a 6-1 victory over the Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards yesterday. The Orioles have now won three straight at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against the Rays. Samuel Basallo went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.