MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (May 30, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (26-32) face the New York Mets (24-33) at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tyler Phillips is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Christian Scott is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -136, while the Marlins are at +113. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- The Marlins (-193) have a 24-34 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+158) hold a record of 22-35.
- The Marlins have a 35-21-2 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total runs line, 21 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 24-30-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 3.9 (26th).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (14th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .246 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .226 (28th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 52 (T21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 46 (T27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 236 RBIs to rank 15th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 212 RBIs to rank 26th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 3.92 this season (13th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.25 (19th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 490 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 531.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Mets this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .228 (7th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 13-15-30 | 7-7-19 | 6-8-11 | 6-5-22 | 7-10-8 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Mets | 13-13-31 | 9-6-13 | 4-7-18 | 12-9-20 | 1-4-11 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 24-23-11 | 14-11-8 | 10-12-3 | 15-9-9 | 9-14-2 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Mets | 17-26-14 | 11-13-4 | 6-13-10 | 14-18-9 | 3-8-5 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 27-31 in Marlins games this season. The Mets have a 29-28 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded a 9-7 extra innings victory over the Marlins at Citi Field yesterday. Owen Caissie was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Marlins' four-game winning streak against the Mets.
