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MLB Prop Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres (June 4, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (32-28) face the Philadelphia Phillies (32-29) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday at 1:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Lucas Giolito is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Zack Wheeler is the probable pitcher for the Phillies. The Phillies are favored to win at -207, while the Padres are at +169. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -116.

  • The Padres (-122) have a 30-30 Run Line record this season, while the Phillies (+102) hold a record of 21-40.
  • The Padres have a 24-35-1 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total runs line, 35 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Phillies have a 25-34-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 3.8 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Phillies are averaging 3.9 (27th).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.0 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Phillies are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (12th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .218 (ranking 30th in the Major leagues), while the Phillies are batting .225 (29th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Phillies have hit 75 (9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 61 (T17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 224 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Phillies have recorded 231 RBIs to rank T26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.98 this season (12th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 3.91 (10th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 496 this season, ranking 21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Phillies rank 4th for total strikeouts, recording 574.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .257 against the Phillies this season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .235 (9th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 7-12-41 5-7-20 2-5-19 5-5-21 2-7-20 0-0-2 0-4-6
    Phillies 18-13-30 10-7-15 8-6-15 15-9-18 3-4-12 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

The Padres are +175 to lead after three innings, while the Phillies are -230.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 14-25-21 9-14-9 4-10-12 5-12-14 9-13-7 1-1-0 2-4-4
    Phillies 20-25-16 12-13-7 8-12-9 16-17-9 4-8-7 0-0-0 2-3-5

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 39-21 in Padres games this season. The Phillies have a 30-31 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Phillies recorded an upset 3-2 victory over the Padres at Citizens Bank Park yesterday. The Phillies have now won six straight against the Padres. Kyle Schwarber went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.