MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals (June 4, 2026)
The Kansas City Royals (24-38) face the Minnesota Twins (29-34) at Target Field on Thursday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Seth Lugo is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Andrew Morris is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Royals are favored to win at -118, while the Twins are at -102. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at +101 and UNDER at -122.
- The Royals (+135) have a 28-34 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-163) hold a record of 35-28.
- The Royals have a 28-32-2 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total runs line, 32 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 36-22-5 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Royals are averaging 3.8 runs per game this season (T29th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.8 more at 4.6 runs (10th).
- In the field, the Royals are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (21st in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (24th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .235 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .236 (20th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 65 (T14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 58 (24th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 231 RBIs to rank T26th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 275 RBIs to rank T8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.59 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.43 (22nd).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 511 this season, ranking 16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 17th for total strikeouts, recording 506.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .250 against the Twins this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .250 (23rd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 11-16-35 | 5-7-20 | 6-9-15 | 4-6-18 | 7-10-17 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Twins | 15-16-32 | 10-5-17 | 5-11-15 | 3-3-7 | 12-13-25 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Royals are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are -115.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 18-30-14 | 10-14-8 | 8-16-6 | 7-15-6 | 11-15-8 | 0-0-0 | 2-6-2 |
| Twins | 25-24-14 | 14-9-9 | 11-15-5 | 6-3-4 | 19-21-10 | 0-0-0 | 1-7-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -130.
- The NRFI is 33-29 in Royals games this season. The Twins have a 31-32 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Twins recorded a 5-1 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium when these teams last met on April 2. Kody Clemens was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.
