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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks (June 11, 2026)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (34-33) face the Miami Marlins (33-35) at LoanDepot Park on Thursday at 1:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Merrill Kelly is the probable pitcher for the Diamondbacks, while Tyler Phillips is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -112, while the Diamondbacks are at -108. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Diamondbacks (+154) have a 39-28 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-188) hold a record of 31-37.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 29-32-6 O/U record this season (meaning 29 games have gone over the total runs line, 32 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 39-27-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Diamondbacks are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.3 (T16th).
  • In the field, the Diamondbacks are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (20th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (16th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Diamondbacks are at .240 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .246 (10th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 57 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have managed 60 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Diamondbacks have recorded 278 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 282 RBIs to rank T16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.18 this season (17th in the Majors), while The Diamondbacks have an ERA of 4.30 (19th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Diamondbacks have recorded 469 this season, ranking 30th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 12th for total strikeouts, recording 579.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .228 against the Marlins this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Diamondbacks' opponents are at .248 (20th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Diamondbacks 14-18-35 8-8-17 6-10-16 8-5-15 6-13-20 0-0-2 1-3-6
    Marlins 14-17-37 7-8-23 7-9-14 6-5-25 8-12-12 0-0-0 1-2-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Diamondbacks 23-32-12 13-11-9 9-20-3 14-7-7 9-25-5 1-1-0 0-8-2
    Marlins 26-27-15 16-13-9 10-14-6 16-10-10 10-17-5 0-0-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 30-37 in Diamondbacks games this season. The Marlins have a 33-35 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a lopsided 8-0 victory against the Diamondbacks at LoanDepot Park yesterday. The Marlins have now won five straight against the Diamondbacks. Kyle Stowers went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.