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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves (June 12, 2026)

The Atlanta Braves (45-23) face the New York Mets (30-38) at Citi Field on Friday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Spencer Strider is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Braves opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Mets coming into -114 and Braves drifting to -105. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Braves (+159) have a 42-26 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-194) hold a record of 28-40.
  • The Braves have a 33-29-6 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total runs line, 29 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 29-35-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Braves are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 4.0 (27th).
  • In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.5 runs per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (T11th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at an impressive .256 (ranking 4th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting an underwhelming .228 (29th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 71 (T18th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 92 (3rd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have been outstanding this season, recording 341 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Mets have performed poorly in this area, recording only 259 RBIs to rank T27th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 3.88 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.20 (1st).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 594 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank T5th for total strikeouts, recording 617.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .232 against the Mets this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .218 (2nd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 19-16-33 10-5-18 9-11-15 16-15-23 3-1-10 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Mets 16-14-38 11-7-15 5-7-23 15-10-23 1-4-15 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 30-21-17 16-8-9 14-13-8 26-15-13 4-6-4 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Mets 20-31-17 12-16-5 8-15-12 16-21-11 4-10-6 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 30-38 in Braves games this season. The Mets have a 35-33 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 4-3 victory over the Mets at Truist Park when these teams last met on August 24, 2025. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Cedric Mullins did what he could, hitting a home run.