MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays (June 16, 2026)
The Toronto Blue Jays (34-38) face the Boston Red Sox (29-40) at Fenway Park on Tuesday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Dylan Cease is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Payton Tolle is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -120, while the Red Sox are at +100. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Blue Jays (+148) have a 37-35 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (-180) hold a record of 29-40.
- The Blue Jays have a 36-33-3 O/U record this season (meaning 36 games have gone over the total runs line, 33 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 32-34-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging 4.0 (25th).
- In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (14th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (9th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .250 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .246 (11th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 58 (T29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 69 (23rd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 280 RBIs to rank T24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 267 RBIs to rank 29th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.91 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.12 (16th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 642 this season, ranking 7th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 581.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .247 against the Red Sox this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .241 (14th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 13-21-38 | 7-12-20 | 6-9-18 | 9-13-19 | 4-8-19 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
| Red Sox | 10-25-34 | 6-9-19 | 4-16-15 | 6-13-24 | 4-12-10 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 24-29-19 | 15-16-8 | 9-13-11 | 16-14-11 | 8-15-8 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Red Sox | 22-28-19 | 13-12-9 | 9-16-10 | 15-14-14 | 7-14-5 | 0-0-0 | 5-3-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 36-36 in Blue Jays games this season. The Red Sox have a 32-37 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Blue Jays recorded an 8-1 victory over the Red Sox at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on April 29. Brandon Valenzuela was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.
