MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals (June 21, 2026)
The Washington Nationals (40-37) face the Tampa Bay Rays (42-31) at Tropicana Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Andrew Alvarez is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Nick Martinez is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -136, while the Nationals are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.
- The Nationals (-193) have a 49-28 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+158) hold a record of 42-31.
- The Nationals have a 47-28-2 O/U record this season (meaning 47 games have gone over the total runs line, 28 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 33-37-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Nationals are averaging 5.4 runs per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging only 4.4 (16th).
- In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .247 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .256 (3rd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 100 to rank T6th. Alternatively, the Rays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 60 (30th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 392 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 308 RBIs to rank T20th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.92 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 4.64 (26th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 588 this season, ranking 25th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 27th for total strikeouts, recording 578.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Rays this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .257 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 22-15-40 | 11-8-19 | 11-7-21 | 3-3-5 | 19-12-35 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Rays | 20-13-40 | 10-8-17 | 10-5-23 | 13-11-22 | 7-2-18 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 30-25-22 | 15-13-10 | 15-12-12 | 7-1-3 | 23-24-19 | 0-0-0 | 5-3-2 |
| Rays | 27-23-23 | 14-11-10 | 13-12-13 | 20-17-9 | 7-6-14 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 39-38 in Nationals games this season. The Rays have a 37-36 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded a 4-3 victory over the Rays at Tropicana Field yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Taylor Walls did what he could, hitting a home run. That result snapped the Rays' five-game winning streak against the Nationals.
