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MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners (June 28, 2026)

The Seattle Mariners (42-42) face the Cleveland Guardians (43-40) at Progressive Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Emerson Hancock is the probable pitcher for the Mariners, while Gavin Williams is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -114, while the Mariners are at -105. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Mariners (+169) have a 34-50 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (-207) hold a record of 40-43.
  • The Mariners have a 39-41-4 O/U record this season (meaning 39 games have gone over the total runs line, 41 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 39-44-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mariners are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 3.9 (30th).
  • In the field, the Mariners are allowing only 4.0 runs per game this season (6th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mariners are at .230 (ranking 27th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .227 (29th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 75 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mariners have managed 102 (T9th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mariners have recorded 328 RBIs to rank T21st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 311 RBIs to rank T28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.77 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Mariners have an ERA of 3.68 (5th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mariners have recorded 737 this season, ranking T6th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank T4th for total strikeouts, recording 760.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Guardians this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mariners' opponents are at .240 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mariners 22-19-43 13-10-18 9-9-25 21-16-37 1-3-6 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Guardians 17-16-50 10-7-21 7-9-29 11-8-25 6-8-25 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mariners 36-27-21 20-12-9 16-15-12 30-25-19 6-2-2 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Guardians 30-25-28 17-10-11 13-15-17 17-12-15 13-13-13 0-0-0 2-3-5

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 38-46 in Mariners games this season. The Guardians have a 47-36 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Guardians recorded a 4-3 victory over the Mariners at Progressive Field yesterday. Randy Arozarena was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs.