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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets (June 30, 2026)

The New York Mets (35-50) face the Toronto Blue Jays (40-45) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday at 7:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Kevin Gausman is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -131, while the Mets are at +108. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -114.

  • The Mets (-201) have a 37-48 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (+164) hold a record of 42-43.
  • The Mets have a 38-41-6 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total runs line, 41 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have a 42-40-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 (25th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (17th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (T14th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .230 (ranking 27th in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .247 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Blue Jays have hit 86 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 94 (17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 326 RBIs to rank 27th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 331 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.12 this season (14th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.10 (13th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 777 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank T8th for total strikeouts, recording 747.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .242 against the Blue Jays this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .233 (6th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 19-20-46 13-8-22 6-12-24 17-11-27 2-9-19 0-0-0 0-4-6
    Blue Jays 15-28-42 8-18-21 7-10-21 10-19-21 5-9-21 0-0-0 1-7-2

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 25-41-19 15-21-7 10-20-12 19-24-12 6-17-7 0-0-0 1-7-2
    Blue Jays 28-36-21 16-21-10 12-15-11 18-19-13 10-17-8 0-0-0 1-7-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 43-42 in Mets games this season. The Blue Jays have a 39-46 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a 2-1 victory over the Mets at Rogers Centre yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Francisco Lindor did what he could, hitting a home run. That result snapped the Mets' four-game winning streak against the Blue Jays.