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MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays (July 2, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (50-33) face the Kansas City Royals (35-52) at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ian Seymour is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Stephen Kolek is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Rays are favored to win at -122, while the Royals are at +102. The total runs line is set at 10.5, with OVER at -111 and UNDER at -109.

  • The Rays (+123) have a 49-34 Run Line record this season, while the Royals (-149) hold a record of 39-48.
  • The Rays have a 37-43-3 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total runs line, 43 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 43-42-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.1 (22nd).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (26th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .261 (ranking 2nd in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .243 (16th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 85 (24th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 78 (T27th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 363 RBIs to rank 17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 343 RBIs to rank 22nd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Royals have an earned run average of 4.87 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.74 (7th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 656 this season, ranking 27th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Royals rank 25th for total strikeouts, recording 668.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .262 against the Royals this season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .234 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 24-15-44 13-9-21 11-6-23 17-13-26 7-2-18 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Royals 17-24-46 7-13-23 10-11-23 5-9-21 12-15-25 0-0-0 2-4-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 33-25-25 18-13-12 15-12-13 26-19-11 7-6-14 0-0-0 6-2-2
    Royals 27-44-16 14-21-8 13-23-8 10-19-6 17-25-10 0-0-0 2-6-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +125 and the YRFI is paying -160.

  • The NRFI is 40-43 in Rays games this season. The Royals have a 43-44 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 4-0 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium yesterday. Cedric Mullins was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Rays have now won six straight at Kauffman Stadium against the Royals.