MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (July 6, 2026)
The New York Mets (37-53) face the Atlanta Braves (52-36) at Truist Park on Monday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Reynaldo Lopez is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -131, while the Mets are at +108. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -121 and UNDER at +101.
- The Mets (-189) have a 38-52 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+155) hold a record of 51-37.
- The Mets have a 41-43-6 O/U record this season (meaning 41 games have gone over the total runs line, 43 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 41-39-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging +0.9 more at 4.9 runs (7th).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (19th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .231 (ranking 26th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .248 (10th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 114 (T8th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 103 (18th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 348 RBIs to rank 26th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 419 RBIs to rank 8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Braves have an earned run average of 3.53 this season (4th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.29 (19th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 820 this season, ranking T4th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 17th for total strikeouts, recording 747.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .228 against the Braves this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .236 (7th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 19-22-49 | 13-8-22 | 6-14-27 | 17-12-29 | 2-10-20 | 0-0-0 | 0-4-6 |
| Braves | 23-20-45 | 14-6-24 | 9-14-21 | 19-17-29 | 4-3-16 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 26-44-20 | 15-21-7 | 11-23-13 | 20-25-13 | 6-19-7 | 0-0-0 | 1-7-2 |
| Braves | 37-31-20 | 21-13-10 | 16-18-10 | 31-19-15 | 6-12-5 | 0-0-0 | 6-3-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -135.
- The NRFI is 46-44 in Mets games this season. The Braves have a 41-47 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded a 10-9 victory over the Braves at Truist Park yesterday. Drake Baldwin was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 4 RBIs. That result snapped the Braves' three-game winning streak against the Mets at Truist Park.
