MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks (July 9, 2026)
The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-47) face the San Diego Padres (46-46) at Petco Park on Thursday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Merrill Kelly is the probable pitcher for the Diamondbacks, while Griffin Canning is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Padres are favored to win at -126, while the Diamondbacks are at +104. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -120.
- The Diamondbacks (-193) have a 50-42 Run Line record this season, while the Padres (+159) hold a record of 45-47.
- The Diamondbacks have a 36-48-8 O/U record this season (meaning 36 games have gone over the total runs line, 48 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 40-51-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Diamondbacks are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Padres are averaging 3.9 (30th).
- In the field, the Diamondbacks are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Padres are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (12th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Diamondbacks are at .237 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting .226 (30th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Padres have hit 96 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have managed 83 (29th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Diamondbacks have recorded 375 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Padres have recorded 354 RBIs to rank 28th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Padres have an earned run average of 4.21 this season (14th in the Majors), while The Diamondbacks have an ERA of 4.30 (18th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Diamondbacks have recorded 625 this season, ranking 30th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 749.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .247 against the Padres this season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Diamondbacks' opponents are at .252 (23rd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 21-25-46 | 12-10-23 | 9-15-21 | 11-8-19 | 10-17-27 | 0-0-2 | 6-2-2 |
| Padres | 13-18-61 | 7-10-30 | 6-8-29 | 7-7-25 | 6-11-36 | 0-0-2 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 30-43-19 | 19-14-12 | 10-28-7 | 18-10-10 | 12-33-9 | 1-1-0 | 5-2-3 |
| Padres | 27-37-28 | 15-19-13 | 11-17-15 | 9-14-16 | 18-23-12 | 1-1-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 39-53 in Diamondbacks games this season. The Padres have a 58-34 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Padres recorded a 10-4 victory over the Diamondbacks at Petco Park yesterday. Fernando Tatis Jr. went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.
