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MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays (July 12, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (45-50) face the San Diego Padres (47-48) at Petco Park on Sunday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Kevin Gausman is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while German Marquez is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -126, while the Padres are at +104. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -119.

  • The Blue Jays (+130) have a 48-47 Run Line record this season, while the Padres (-157) hold a record of 45-50.
  • The Blue Jays have a 48-44-3 O/U record this season (meaning 48 games have gone over the total runs line, 44 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 41-53-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Padres are averaging 3.9 (30th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (13th in the league), while the Padres are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (12th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .244 (ranking 14th in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting .226 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Padres have hit 99 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 96 (25th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 372 RBIs to rank T25th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Padres have recorded 366 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Padres have an earned run average of 4.23 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.12 (11th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 840 this season, ranking 8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 771.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .247 against the Padres this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .239 (14th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 17-31-47 9-18-22 8-13-25 12-20-22 5-11-25 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Padres 15-18-62 9-10-31 6-8-29 9-7-26 6-11-36 0-0-2 5-2-3

Lead After Three Innings

The Blue Jays are -135 to lead after three innings, while the Padres are +105.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 32-41-22 17-21-11 15-20-11 22-20-12 10-21-10 0-0-0 4-5-1
    Padres 30-37-28 18-19-13 11-17-15 12-14-16 18-23-12 1-1-0 6-2-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 44-51 in Blue Jays games this season. The Padres have a 59-36 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Padres recorded an 8-7 victory over the Blue Jays at Petco Park yesterday. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Blue Jays' four-game winning streak against the Padres.