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MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates Game 2 (July 18, 2026)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (50-47) face the Cleveland Guardians (51-46) at Progressive Field on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Braxton Ashcraft is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Logan Allen is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -103 and UNDER at -117.

  • The Pirates (+153) have a 47-50 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (-186) hold a record of 46-51.
  • The Pirates have a 56-38-3 O/U record this season (meaning 56 games have gone over the total runs line, 38 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 45-52-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 5.3 runs per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging only 4.0 (T29th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.9 runs per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (8th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at an impressive .263 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting an underwhelming .229 (28th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 125 to rank T6th. Alternatively, the Guardians are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 93 (27th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have been outstanding this season, recording 495 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Guardians have performed poorly in this area, recording only 368 RBIs to rank 30th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.71 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.32 (20th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 883 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 6th for total strikeouts, recording 870.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Guardians this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .239 (13th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 31-16-50 18-8-25 13-8-25 21-6-26 10-10-24 0-0-0 2-2-6
    Guardians 20-17-60 12-8-26 8-9-34 13-9-32 7-8-28 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

The Pirates are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Guardians are -115.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 43-33-21 28-11-12 15-22-9 28-14-11 15-19-10 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Guardians 35-29-33 20-13-13 15-16-20 22-16-16 13-13-17 0-0-0 4-3-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 47-50 in Pirates games this season. The Guardians have a 57-40 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Pirates recorded a 7-1 victory over the Guardians at Progressive Field earlier today. Jacob Gonzalez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Guardians' four-game winning streak against the Pirates.