MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (July 30, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (55-54) face the New York Mets (46-63) at Citi Field on Thursday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -131, while the Marlins are at +109. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- The Marlins (-205) have a 53-56 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+168) hold a record of 51-58.
- The Marlins have a 56-51-2 O/U record this season (meaning 56 games have gone over the total runs line, 51 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 48-53-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 4.1 (26th).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (19th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .251 (ranking 8th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .234 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 129 (T13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 112 (T22nd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 462 RBIs to rank T14th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 428 RBIs to rank 26th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.13 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.09 (10th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 910 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 989.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Mets this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .232 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 22-22-65 | 11-9-37 | 11-13-28 | 11-6-37 | 11-16-28 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
| Mets | 24-26-59 | 17-10-28 | 7-16-31 | 20-14-31 | 4-12-28 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 44-40-25 | 25-16-16 | 19-24-9 | 24-13-17 | 20-27-8 | 0-0-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Mets | 34-51-24 | 20-24-11 | 14-27-13 | 24-26-15 | 10-25-9 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -150 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 58-51 in Marlins games this season. The Mets have a 55-54 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded a lopsided 10-1 victory against the Marlins at Citi Field when these teams last met on May 31. Marcus Semien was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Mets have now won three straight against the Marlins.
