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MLB Prop Bets: Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins (August 2, 2026)

The Minnesota Twins (56-56) face the Seattle Mariners (54-58) at T-Mobile Park on Sunday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Taj Bradley is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while George Kirby is the probable pitcher for the Mariners. The Mariners are favored to win at -136, while the Twins are at +113. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +104 and UNDER at -125.

  • The Twins (-186) have a 60-52 Run Line record this season, while the Mariners (+153) hold a record of 45-67.
  • The Twins have a 59-46-7 O/U record this season (meaning 59 games have gone over the total runs line, 46 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Mariners have a 55-50-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Mariners are averaging only 4.0 (28th).
  • In the field, the Twins are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (26th in the league), while the Mariners are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (6th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .244 (ranking 14th in the Major leagues), while the Mariners are batting .229 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mariners have hit 131 (T14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 132 (13th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 500 RBIs to rank T8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mariners have recorded 431 RBIs to rank T27th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mariners have an earned run average of 3.74 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.60 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Twins have recorded 928 this season, ranking 19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mariners rank 11th for total strikeouts, recording 954.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Mariners this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .250 (22nd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Twins 27-28-57 13-10-34 14-18-23 8-7-18 19-21-39 0-0-0 1-2-7
    Mariners 24-29-59 15-13-27 9-16-32 23-22-47 1-7-12 0-0-0 2-7-1

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Twins 43-43-26 22-18-17 21-25-9 13-10-10 30-33-16 0-0-0 1-4-5
    Mariners 43-42-27 25-17-13 18-25-14 35-33-24 8-9-3 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 49-63 in Twins games this season. The Mariners have a 54-58 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mariners recorded an upset 4-3 victory over the Twins at T-Mobile Park yesterday. Randy Arozarena was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.