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MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays (August 4, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (53-60) face the Houston Astros (58-56) at Daikin Park on Tuesday at 8:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Trey Yesavage is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Hayden Wesneski is the probable pitcher for the Astros. The Astros are favored to win at -131, while the Blue Jays are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -107 and UNDER at -113.

  • The Blue Jays (-194) have a 55-58 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (+159) hold a record of 59-55.
  • The Blue Jays have a 54-55-4 O/U record this season (meaning 54 games have gone over the total runs line, 55 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 60-48-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging +0.7 more at 4.6 runs (10th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (25th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .243 (ranking 17th in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .246 (11th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 155 to rank 3rd. Alternatively, the Blue Jays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 108 (T28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 424 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 503 RBIs to rank 10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Astros have an earned run average of 4.63 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.04 (12th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 1000 this season, ranking 9th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 1001.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Astros this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .242 (16th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 20-34-59 11-19-29 9-15-30 14-21-30 6-13-29 0-0-0 0-2-8
    Astros 33-30-51 18-12-27 15-18-24 12-11-21 21-19-30 0-0-0 1-4-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Blue Jays are -105 to lead after three innings, while the Astros are -125.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 37-49-27 19-25-15 18-24-12 24-25-16 13-24-11 0-0-0 4-4-2
    Astros 39-48-27 24-21-12 15-27-15 16-20-8 23-28-19 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 56-57 in Blue Jays games this season. The Astros have a 48-66 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded an upset 3-1 victory over the Astros at Daikin Park yesterday. Alejandro Kirk went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. That result snapped the Astros' four-game winning streak against the Blue Jays at Daikin Park.