MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves (August 19, 2026)
The Atlanta Braves (74-52) face the Minnesota Twins (62-65) at Target Field on Wednesday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. AJ Smith-Shawver is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Taj Bradley is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Braves opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Twins coming into -111 and Braves drifting to -108. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.
- The Braves (+153) have a 69-57 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-186) hold a record of 70-57.
- The Braves have a 57-60-9 O/U record this season (meaning 57 games have gone over the total runs line, 60 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 66-53-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Braves are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.6 (9th).
- In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (5th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .247 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .246 (12th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 147 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 167 (T4th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 578 RBIs to rank 7th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 558 RBIs to rank 9th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Braves have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.65 (5th in the Majors), while the Twins are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.62 (26th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 1078 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 1044.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Twins this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .231 (4th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 29-29-68 | 19-10-36 | 10-19-32 | 24-23-46 | 5-6-22 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-5 |
| Twins | 30-35-62 | 16-11-37 | 14-23-25 | 8-10-20 | 22-25-42 | 0-1-0 | 3-4-3 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 53-44-29 | 35-18-12 | 18-26-17 | 46-27-20 | 7-17-9 | 0-0-0 | 2-6-2 |
| Twins | 49-51-27 | 27-20-17 | 22-30-10 | 15-13-10 | 34-38-17 | 0-1-0 | 6-4-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 63-63 in Braves games this season. The Twins have a 53-74 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Twins recorded a 4-1 victory over the Braves at Target Field yesterday. Josh Bell was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs.
