MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins (August 29, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (68-67) face the Washington Nationals (64-73) at Nationals Park on Saturday at 4:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Cade Cavalli is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Marlins opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Nationals coming into -114 and Marlins drifting to -105. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- The Marlins (+162) have a 67-68 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-198) hold a record of 79-58.
- The Marlins have a 65-67-3 O/U record this season (meaning 65 games have gone over the total runs line, 67 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 70-61-6 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging +0.9 more at 5.2 runs (2nd).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (28th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .249 (ranking 8th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .248 (10th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 190 to rank 1st. Alternatively, the Marlins are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 135 (T25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 558 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 678 RBIs to rank 1st.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.67 this season (27th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.92 (9th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1103 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 25th for total strikeouts, recording 1055.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .230 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .256 (27th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 27-24-84 | 15-10-44 | 12-14-40 | 14-7-43 | 13-17-41 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
| Nationals | 38-29-70 | 22-10-36 | 16-19-34 | 12-4-17 | 26-25-53 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Marlins are +100 to lead after three innings, while the Nationals are -130.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 53-49-33 | 33-18-18 | 20-31-15 | 29-15-20 | 24-34-13 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Nationals | 56-44-37 | 33-17-18 | 23-27-19 | 18-5-10 | 38-39-27 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 77-58 in Marlins games this season. The Nationals have a 67-70 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded a 9-2 victory over the Marlins at Nationals Park yesterday. Brady House went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Marlins' eight-game winning streak against the Nationals.
