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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres (August 30, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (72-64) face the Tampa Bay Rays (81-54) at Tropicana Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Robbie Ray is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -175, while the Padres are at +144. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +101 and UNDER at -122.

  • The Padres (-156) have a 71-65 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+129) hold a record of 75-60.
  • The Padres have a 59-73-4 O/U record this season (meaning 59 games have gone over the total runs line, 73 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 61-70-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.5 (14th).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (9th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (8th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .237 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .261 (1st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 140 (23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 150 (20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 557 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 579 RBIs to rank 16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have an earned run average of 3.79 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 3.94 (10th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 1096 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1099.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .231 against the Rays this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .242 (16th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 23-26-87 13-13-43 10-13-42 15-10-39 8-16-48 0-0-2 2-2-6
    Rays 33-27-75 17-12-39 16-15-36 25-20-46 8-7-29 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Padres are +135 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -175.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 45-57-34 26-27-16 18-29-18 21-23-20 24-34-14 1-1-0 4-3-3
    Rays 55-41-39 27-21-20 28-20-19 42-29-20 13-12-19 0-0-0 7-1-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 83-53 in Padres games this season. The Rays have a 71-64 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 7-6 victory over the Padres at Tropicana Field yesterday. Ty France was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Rays have now won five straight against the Padres.