MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets (August 31, 2026)
The New York Mets (61-76) face the Tampa Bay Rays (82-54) at Tropicana Field on Monday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Robert Stock is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Ian Seymour is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -172, while the Mets are at +142. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -114.
- The Mets (-148) have a 64-73 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+123) hold a record of 75-61.
- The Mets have a 59-66-12 O/U record this season (meaning 59 games have gone over the total runs line, 66 have gone under and 12 have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 62-70-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging +0.4 more at 4.5 runs (14th).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (17th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (8th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .260 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting an underwhelming .236 (26th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 142 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 165 (10th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 537 RBIs to rank 25th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 584 RBIs to rank 16th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.77 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.08 (13th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 1228 this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1111.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .231 against the Rays this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .238 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 31-31-75 | 20-13-38 | 11-18-37 | 24-15-36 | 7-16-39 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Rays | 33-27-76 | 17-12-40 | 16-15-36 | 25-20-47 | 8-7-29 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Mets are +135 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -175.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 44-59-34 | 22-30-19 | 22-29-15 | 27-29-19 | 17-30-15 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Rays | 55-41-40 | 27-21-21 | 28-20-19 | 42-29-21 | 13-12-19 | 0-0-0 | 6-1-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -120.
- The NRFI is 70-67 in Mets games this season. The Rays have a 72-64 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Rays recorded a lopsided 9-0 victory against the Mets at Citi Field when these teams last met on June 15, 2025. Junior Caminero went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs. The Rays have now won six straight against the Mets.
