MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins (September 1, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (69-69) face the Kansas City Royals (62-76) at Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tyler Phillips is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Randy Dobnak is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Royals are favored to win at -120, while the Marlins are at +100. The total runs line is set at 10.0, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -116.
- The Marlins (+153) have a 68-70 Run Line record this season, while the Royals (-186) hold a record of 70-68.
- The Marlins have a 67-68-3 O/U record this season (meaning 67 games have gone over the total runs line, 68 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 63-69-6 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (T19th in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.3 (21st).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (25th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .248 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .248 (10th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 141 (23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 137 (25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 568 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 561 RBIs to rank 22nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Royals have an earned run average of 4.68 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.92 (10th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1125 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Royals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 1001.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .231 against the Marlins this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Royals' opponents are at .257 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 27-24-87 | 15-10-44 | 12-14-43 | 14-7-45 | 13-17-42 | 0-0-0 | 3-0-7 |
| Royals | 31-34-73 | 17-17-32 | 14-17-41 | 9-12-26 | 22-22-47 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Marlins are -105 to lead after three innings, while the Royals are -125.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 53-50-35 | 33-18-18 | 20-32-17 | 29-16-21 | 24-34-14 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Royals | 44-62-32 | 26-27-13 | 18-35-19 | 14-23-10 | 30-39-22 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -135.
- The NRFI is 80-58 in Marlins games this season. The Royals have a 69-69 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Royals recorded a 7-4 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on July 20, 2025. Salvador Perez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. That result snapped the Marlins' six-game winning streak against the Royals at LoanDepot Park.
