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MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals (September 8, 2026)

The Washington Nationals (67-79) face the San Diego Padres (76-68) at Petco Park on Tuesday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Riley Cornelio is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Casey Mize is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Padres are favored to win at -194, while the Nationals are at +159. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Nationals (-136) have an 84-62 Run Line record this season, while the Padres (+113) hold a record of 74-70.
  • The Nationals have a 75-64-7 O/U record this season (meaning 75 games have gone over the total runs line, 64 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 61-78-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Padres are averaging only 4.2 (T23rd).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Padres are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (8th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .248 (ranking 8th in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting .236 (24th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Padres have hit 159 (19th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 195 (2nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 711 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Padres have recorded 583 RBIs to rank 23rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Padres have an earned run average of 3.90 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 4.72 (28th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 1137 this season, ranking 25th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1170.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Padres this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .255 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 38-31-77 22-10-41 16-21-36 12-4-18 26-27-59 0-0-0 0-2-8
    Padres 26-26-92 15-13-45 11-13-45 18-10-42 8-16-50 0-0-2 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 58-48-40 35-17-21 23-31-19 18-5-11 40-43-29 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Padres 47-59-38 28-28-17 18-30-21 23-25-22 24-34-16 1-1-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 74-72 in Nationals games this season. The Padres have an 87-57 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Padres recorded an upset 3-2 victory over the Nationals at Petco Park yesterday. Jackson Merrill went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Padres have now won three straight at Petco Park against the Nationals.