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MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves (September 18, 2026)

The Atlanta Braves (89-64) face the Houston Astros (77-76) at Daikin Park on Friday at 8:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tyler Mahle is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Peter Lambert is the probable pitcher for the Astros. The Braves are favored to win at -120, while the Astros are at +100. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Braves (+135) have an 82-71 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (-164) hold a record of 79-74.
  • The Braves have a 70-73-10 O/U record this season (meaning 70 games have gone over the total runs line, 73 have gone under and 10 have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 74-70-9 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Braves are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging 4.5 (T16th).
  • In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (T4th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (24th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .247 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .240 (21st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros have hit 206 (3rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 192 (7th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 676 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 650 RBIs to rank T16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Astros have an earned run average of 4.51 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.64 (4th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 1274 this season, ranking 16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 1331.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Astros this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .234 (6th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 35-33-85 24-11-43 11-22-41 27-24-57 8-9-28 0-0-1 2-2-6
    Astros 41-37-75 24-14-40 17-23-35 19-14-34 22-23-41 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 60-59-34 40-24-14 20-35-19 51-34-23 9-25-11 0-0-1 0-8-2
    Astros 56-59-38 34-27-17 22-32-21 26-27-14 30-32-24 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 78-75 in Braves games this season. The Astros have a 70-83 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded an 8-3 victory over the Astros at Truist Park when these teams last met on September 14, 2025. Matt Olson was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. That result snapped the Astros' six-game winning streak against the Braves at Truist Park.