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MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays (September 24, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (96-62) face the New York Yankees (91-67) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ian Seymour is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Cam Schlittler is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -155, while the Rays are at +129. The total runs line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -120 and UNDER at +100.

  • These teams share an 85-73 Run Line record this season. The Rays are -186 to cover the run line while the Yankees are +153.
  • The Rays have a 72-82-4 O/U record this season (meaning 72 games have gone over the total runs line, 82 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 72-80-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging 4.6 (T8th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.0 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (1st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .258 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting an underwhelming .234 (26th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 221 (1st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 165 (21st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 680 RBIs to rank 13th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 693 RBIs to rank 9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.21 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.71 (7th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 1296 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 7th for total strikeouts, recording 1413.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .223 against the Yankees this season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .228 (4th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 37-30-91 20-14-47 17-16-44 28-22-56 9-8-35 0-0-0 3-1-6
    Yankees 40-36-82 22-16-39 18-20-43 34-25-68 6-11-14 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Rays are +120 to lead after three innings, while the Yankees are -154.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 65-46-47 32-25-24 33-21-23 48-33-25 17-13-22 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Yankees 71-45-42 34-21-22 37-24-20 57-35-35 14-10-7 0-0-0 6-2-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -160 and the YRFI is paying +120.

  • The NRFI is 84-74 in Rays games this season. The Yankees have an 80-78 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Yankees recorded a 9-2 victory over the Rays at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Ben Rice was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 2 RBIs.