MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies (September 29, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies face the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park in the MLB League Wild Card Round on Tuesday at 2:00pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jesus Luzardo is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Chris Sale is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -199, while the Phillies are at +163. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at +102 and UNDER at -122.
- The Phillies (-142) have a 69-93 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+118) hold a record of 86-76.
- The Phillies have a 76-77-9 O/U record this season (meaning 76 games have gone over the total runs line, 77 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 73-77-12 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging +0.2 more at 4.6 runs (9th).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (11th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (5th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .240 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .246 (10th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 204 (T7th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 182 (T16th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 691 RBIs to rank 17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 711 RBIs to rank 8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Braves have an earned run average of 3.63 this season (5th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.04 (11th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 1577 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 1350.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Braves this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .248 (19th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 44-40-78 | 27-18-36 | 16-22-42 | 37-28-57 | 7-12-21 | 1-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
| Braves | 37-35-90 | 25-12-44 | 12-23-45 | 29-25-60 | 8-10-30 | 0-0-1 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Phillies are +150 to lead after three innings, while the Braves are -195.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 72-56-34 | 39-27-15 | 32-29-19 | 59-40-23 | 13-16-11 | 1-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
| Braves | 62-62-38 | 40-26-15 | 22-36-22 | 52-36-26 | 10-26-12 | 0-0-1 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 75-87 in Phillies games this season. The Braves have an 83-79 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Phillies recorded a 9-4 victory over the Braves at Truist Park when these teams last met on September 13. J.T. Realmuto was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Braves' three-game winning streak against the Phillies at Truist Park.
