MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers (October 6, 2026)
The Milwaukee Brewers face the San Diego Padres at Petco Park in Game 3 of the MLB League Division Round on Tuesday at 9:30pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Dustin May is the probable pitcher for the Brewers, while Nick Pivetta is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Padres are favored to win at -136, while the Brewers are at +113. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.
- The Brewers (-201) have an 85-79 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Padres (+164) hold a record of 89-77.
- The Brewers have a 73-85-6 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 73 games have gone over the total runs line, 85 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 76-83-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Brewers averaged 5.1 runs per game during the regular season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Padres averaged 4.5 (16th). During the postseason, the Brewers are averaging 3.5 per game and the Padres are averaging 4.3.
- In the field, the Brewers allowed 3.8 runs per game during the regular season (4th in the league), while the Padres allowed an average of 4.2 runs (9th). More recently, the Brewers are allowing 2.5 per game in these playoffs, while the Padres are allowing an average of 2.0.
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages during the regular season, the Brewers were at .258 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Padres were batting .244 (17th). During the playoffs, the Brewers are at .190 and the Padres are batting .265.
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs during the regular season, the Padres hit 183 (T14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Brewers managed 154 (T28th). The postseason has thus far seen the Brewers hit 2 home runs, while the Padres have hit 4.
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Brewers recorded 788 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB during the regular season. Comparatively, the Padres recorded 696 RBIs to rank T14th. The Brewers have recorded 6 RBIs in the playoffs, while the Padres have recorded 15.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Padres had an earned run average of 3.99 during the regular season (10th in the Majors), while The Brewers had an ERA of 3.51 (2nd). In the playoffs, the Brewers have an ERA of 1.50, while the Padres have an ERA of 1.82.
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Brewers recorded 1544 in the regular season season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres ranked 20th for total strikeouts, recording 1315. The Brewers have recorded 16 strikeouts during the postseason and the Padres have managed 33.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents batted an average of .242 against the Padres in the regular season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Brewers' opponents were at .221 (2nd). Throughout these playoffs, the Brewers' opponents are batting an average of .206 and the Padres' opponents are batting an average of .160.
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 43-32-89 | 30-15-37 | 13-17-51 | 39-25-67 | 4-7-22 | 0-0-1 | 3-1-6 |
| Padres | 32-30-104 | 17-14-52 | 15-16-50 | 23-13-49 | 9-17-55 | 0-0-2 | 3-1-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Brewers are +110 to lead after three innings, while the Padres are -140.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 72-54-38 | 40-21-21 | 32-33-16 | 58-42-31 | 14-12-7 | 0-0-1 | 5-3-2 |
| Padres | 59-64-43 | 34-32-17 | 24-31-26 | 33-28-24 | 26-36-19 | 1-1-0 | 5-2-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 85-79 in Brewers games since the beginning of the regular season. The Padres have a 98-68 NRFI record. Drilling down further, the NRFI is 1-1 in Brewers playoff games this season and 2-2 in Padres playoff games this season.
Last Time They Met
The Brewers recorded a 4-3 victory over the Padres at American Family Field on Sunday. Christian Yelich led the way to that victory, hitting a home run. The Brewers have now won three straight at American Family Field against the Padres.
