MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians (October 12, 2026)
The Cleveland Guardians face the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in Game 1 of the MLB League Championship Round on Monday at 8:00pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Foster Griffin is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -171, while the Guardians are at +141. The total runs line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -124 and UNDER at +103.
- The Guardians (-158) have an 80-87 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Rays (+131) hold a record of 89-76.
- The Guardians have an 80-85-2 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 80 games have gone over the total runs line, 85 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 76-84-5 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Guardians are averaging 4.2 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging +0.4 more at 4.5 runs (12th).
- In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.1 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (8th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (6th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages [this season/during the regular season], the Guardians are at .239 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .258 (2nd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs [this season/during the regular season], the Rays have hit 169 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians have managed 162 (27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians have recorded 650 RBIs to rank 24th in the MLB [this season/during the regular season]. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 700 RBIs to rank 13th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.70 [this season/during the regular season] (7th in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.77 (8th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 1530 [this season/during the regular season], ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1322.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Rays [this season/during the regular season] (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .238 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 38-30-99 | 22-14-48 | 16-16-51 | 27-19-60 | 11-11-39 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Rays | 40-31-94 | 21-14-48 | 19-17-46 | 28-22-57 | 12-9-37 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Guardians are +130 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -166.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 61-53-53 | 36-25-23 | 25-28-30 | 41-34-31 | 20-19-22 | 0-0-0 | 4-1-5 |
| Rays | 70-47-48 | 34-25-24 | 36-22-24 | 49-33-25 | 21-14-23 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -150 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 93-74 in Guardians games [this season/during the regular season]. The Rays have an 87-78 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Rays recorded an 1-0 victory over the Guardians at Tropicana Field when these teams last met on July 26. Chandler Simpson led the way to that victory, hitting a home run. The Rays have now won four straight at Tropicana Field against the Guardians.