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MLB Prop Bets: Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays (October 23, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays face the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Game 1 of the World Series on Friday at 8:00pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. The Brewers are favored to win at -160, while the Rays are at +132. The total runs line is set at 6.0, with OVER at -116 and UNDER at -104.

  • The Rays (-171) have a 94-77 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Brewers (+141) hold a record of 91-79.
  • The Rays have a 79-87-5 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 79 games have gone over the total runs line, 87 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Brewers have a 76-88-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Brewers are averaging +0.6 more at 5.1 runs (2nd).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing only 4.0 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (6th in the league), while the Brewers are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages [this season/during the regular season], the Rays are at .258 (ranking 2nd in the Major leagues), while the Brewers are batting .258 (1st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs [this season/during the regular season], the Brewers have hit 154 (T28th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 169 (22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 700 RBIs to rank 13th in the MLB [this season/during the regular season]. Comparatively, the Brewers have recorded 788 RBIs to rank 2nd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.51 [this season/during the regular season] (2nd in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.70 (7th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 1322 [this season/during the regular season], ranking 19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Brewers rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 1544.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .221 against the Brewers [this season/during the regular season] (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .229 (4th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 42-32-97 22-14-50 20-18-47 30-23-59 12-9-38 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Brewers 44-32-94 30-15-39 14-17-54 39-25-68 5-7-26 0-0-1 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 73-48-50 36-25-25 37-23-25 52-33-27 21-15-23 0-0-0 5-2-3
    Brewers 74-57-39 41-22-21 33-35-17 58-42-32 16-15-7 0-0-1 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 90-81 in Rays games [this season/during the regular season]. The Brewers have an 89-81 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Brewers recorded an 8-2 victory over the Rays at American Family Field when these teams last met on April 1. Brice Turang went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.