MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers (October 27, 2026)
The Milwaukee Brewers face the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in Game 4 of the World Series on Tuesday at 8:00pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Griffin Jax is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while the Brewers' probable pitcher remains unclear. The Brewers are favored to win at -131, while the Rays are at +109. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -109 and UNDER at -111.
- The Brewers (+140) have a 92-81 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Rays (-169) hold a record of 96-78.
- The Brewers have a 78-89-6 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 78 games have gone over the total runs line, 89 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Rays have an 81-88-5 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Brewers averaged 5.1 runs per game during the regular season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Rays averaged 4.5 (12th). During the postseason, the Brewers are averaging 4.7 per game and the Rays are averaging 3.5.
- In the field, the Brewers allowed 3.8 runs per game during the regular season (4th in the league), while the Rays allowed an average of 4.0 runs (6th). More recently, the Brewers are allowing 2.5 per game in these playoffs, while the Rays are allowing an average of 3.4.
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages during the regular season, the Brewers were at .258 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Rays were batting .258 (2nd). During the playoffs, the Brewers are at .272 and the Rays are batting .221.
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs during the regular season, the Rays hit 169 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Brewers managed 154 (T28th). The postseason has thus far seen the Brewers hit 11 home runs, while the Rays have hit 8.
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Brewers recorded 788 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB during the regular season. Comparatively, the Rays recorded 700 RBIs to rank 13th. The Brewers have recorded 50 RBIs in the playoffs, while the Rays have recorded 39.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays had an earned run average of 3.70 during the regular season (7th in the Majors), while The Brewers had an ERA of 3.51 (2nd). In the playoffs, the Brewers have an ERA of 2.02, while the Rays have an ERA of 3.51.
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Brewers recorded 1544 in the regular season season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays ranked 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1322. The Brewers have recorded 89 strikeouts during the postseason and the Rays have managed 93.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents batted an average of .229 against the Rays in the regular season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Brewers' opponents were at .221 (2nd). Throughout these playoffs, the Brewers' opponents are batting an average of .184 and the Rays' opponents are batting an average of .235.
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 45-33-95 | 31-16-39 | 14-17-55 | 40-26-68 | 5-7-27 | 0-0-1 | 2-2-6 |
| Rays | 43-33-98 | 22-14-51 | 21-19-47 | 30-23-60 | 13-10-38 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 76-58-39 | 42-23-21 | 34-35-17 | 59-43-32 | 17-15-7 | 0-0-1 | 4-5-1 |
| Rays | 74-50-50 | 36-26-25 | 38-24-25 | 52-34-27 | 22-16-23 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
- The NRFI is 90-83 in Brewers games since the beginning of the regular season. The Rays have a 91-83 NRFI record. Drilling down further, the NRFI is 6-5 in Brewers playoff games this season and 6-6 in Rays playoff games this season.
Last Time They Met
The Brewers recorded a lopsided 10-1 victory against the Rays at Tropicana Field yesterday. Jackson Chourio went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Brewers have now won five straight against the Rays.