NBA Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers (June 16, 2025)

The Indiana Pacers face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 of the NBA Finals at Paycom Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -400, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Pacers are at +310. The total points line is set at 223.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-107 Oklahoma City.

• The Pacers (-113) have a 49-51-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Thunder (-108) hold a record of 64-37-2.
• The Pacers have a 54-47-1 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 54 games have gone over the total points line, 47 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Thunder have a 54-47-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• Indiana has averaged 115.8 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 113.2. Comparatively, Oklahoma City has scored 116.2 per game and allowed 106.9. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Pacers' playoff-high is 138 while their playoff-low is 94. Meanwhile, the Thunder's high is 149 and low is 92.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 39.9% of the Pacers' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 60.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents have taken 44.1% of their attempts from three and 55.9% from two.
• Comparatively, Oklahoma City has taken 38.8% of shots from three, leaving 61.2% from two, while Indiana's opponents have attempted 38.9% from three and 61.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Pacers have shot 39.3% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Thunder who are making 34.0% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, Indiana has held opponents to 33.9% of their three-point attempts, while Oklahoma City's opponents have hit 33.8% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Pacers are committing 13.7 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Thunder have forced 17.9 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, Indiana is forcing 14.2 turnovers, while Oklahoma City is committing 12.2.

Crashing the Boards

• Indiana is pulling down 39.7 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 7.3 offensive boards. Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 44.9 rebounds, 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Thunder have averaged 43.8 rebounds and 11.4 offensive rebounds, while the Pacers are allowing 43.3 and 11.7.

First Quarter Winner

Indiana is +190 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is -235. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Indiana	9-9-2	7-2-1	2-7-1	5-1-0	4-8-2
Oklahoma City	13-7-0	8-3-0	5-4-0	13-7-0	0-0-0

First Half Winner

Indiana is +260 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is -323. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Indiana	11-9-0	8-2-0	3-7-0	5-1-0	6-8-0
Oklahoma City	14-6-0	9-2-0	5-4-0	14-6-0	0-0-0

HT/FT

Indiana is +450 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is -245.

• The Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 39.2% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 61.2% of games. During the playoffs, Indiana has completed the HT/FT double in eight of 20 games, while Oklahoma City has completed the HT/FT double in 10 of 20 contests.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +1800 to go to overtime.

• The Pacers have played in eight games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Thunder have appeared in two. Indiana has played in two games that went to overtime during the postseason. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has appeared in one.

Last Time They Met

The Thunder recorded a 111-104 victory over the Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday. The series is now tied at 2-2. Despite being on the losing side, Pascal Siakam was a menace on the defensive end on that day, finishing with 5 steals to go along with 20 points.