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NBA Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers (November 23, 2025)

The Portland Trail Blazers (7-10) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (17-1) at Paycom Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Thunder opened as 15.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 16.5, leaving the Thunder at -1450 and Trail Blazers at +850. The total points line is set at 233.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 125-108 Oklahoma City.

  • The Trail Blazers (-112) have an 8-8-1 ATS record this season, while the Thunder (-108) hold a record of 10-8-0.
  • The Trail Blazers have a 12-5-0 O/U record this season (meaning 12 games have gone over the total points line and five have gone under). The Thunder have a 9-9-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Trail Blazers are averaging 119.6 points per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder are averaging 122.6 (4th).
  • Defensively, the Trail Blazers are giving up a whopping 122.5 points per game this season (25th in the league), while the Thunder are giving up an average of 105.7 points (1st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Trail Blazers currently rank 3rd for pace this season, recording 102.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 23rd on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 44.8% of the Trail Blazers' field goal attempts come from three point range (5th in the league), leaving 55.2% from two. Notably, the Thunder's opponents are taking 44.2% of their attempts from three (21st) and 55.8% from two.
  • Comparatively, Oklahoma City takes 43.2% of shots from three (11th), leaving 56.8% from two, while Portland's opponents are attempting 39.7% from three (6th) and 60.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Trail Blazers are shooting 32.1% from deep in 2025/26 (28th in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 36.1% of their attempts (17th).
  • On the opposite end, Portland is holding opponents to 37.0% of their three-point attempts (22nd), while Oklahoma City's opponents are hitting 36.4% of their shots (20th).

Ball Protection

  • The Trail Blazers are committing 16.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 24th in the league. The Thunder may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they're forcing 18.4 turnovers per contest (1st).
  • Flipping that script, Portland is forcing 16.9 turnovers (5th), while Oklahoma City is committing 13.1 (2nd).

Crashing the Boards

  • Portland is pulling down 45.4 rebounds per game this season (11th in the league), including 15.8 offensive boards (2nd). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 43.4 rebounds (13th), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (10th).
  • Meanwhile, the Thunder are averaging 45.5 rebounds (10th) and 10.0 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Trail Blazers are allowing 43.7 and 12.1, ranking 14th and 21st.

Back-to-backs

  • Notably, the Trail Blazers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Portland holds an 8-1 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season, as well as a 13-1-1 ATS record and 4-11-0 O/U record.
  • Additionally, Oklahoma City has a 5-0 W-L record, 2-3-0 ATS record and 2-3-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
  • Notably, the Thunder are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Notably, the Trail Blazers and Thunder are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.

First Quarter Winner

Portland is +260 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is -325. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Portland 8-8-1 3-3-1 5-5-0 5-2-0 3-6-1 5-5-0
    Oklahoma City 10-7-1 6-2-0 4-5-1 10-7-1 0-0-0 6-3-1

First Half Winner

Portland is +400 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is -535. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Portland 7-10-0 3-4-0 4-6-0 4-3-0 3-7-0 1-9-0
    Oklahoma City 13-5-0 6-2-0 7-3-0 13-5-0 0-0-0 8-2-0

HT/FT

Portland is +1000 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is -700.

  • The Trail Blazers have completed the HT/FT double in 17.6% of games this season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 66.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +2500 to go to overtime.

  • The Trail Blazers have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Thunder have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 13 of Portland's 17 games this season. Meanwhile, four of Oklahoma City's 18 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Oklahoma City recorded a 122-95 blowout victory against Portland at Paycom Center when these teams last met on November 23. The Thunder have now won nine straight at Paycom Center against the Trail Blazers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander erupted for 37 points on that day.