NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns (December 8, 2025)

The Phoenix Suns (13-10) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (15-8) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Timberwolves are favored to win at -395, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Suns are at +310. The total points line is set at 226.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-108 Minnesota.

The Suns (-110) have a 14-8-1 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-110) hold a record of 8-15-0.
The Suns have an 11-12-0 O/U record this season (meaning 11 games have gone over the total points line and 12 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 12-11-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Suns are averaging 116.2 points per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging +4.0 more at 120.3 points (6th).
Defensively, the Suns are giving up 113.8 points per game this season (9th in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 115.0 points (11th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Suns currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 99.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 14th on that scale with 100.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 44.3% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 55.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking 38.0% of their attempts from three (3rd) and 62.0% from two.
Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.7% of shots from three (15th), leaving 57.3% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting 40.7% from three (6th) and 59.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.8% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 38.9% of their attempts (4th).
On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 36.4% of their three-point attempts (16th), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 35.4% of their shots (11th).

Ball Protection

The Suns are committing 16.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 23rd in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 14.8 turnovers (T15th).
Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 17.3 turnovers (2nd), while Minnesota is committing 15.1 (16th).

Crashing the Boards

Phoenix is pulling down 42.5 rebounds per game this season (22nd in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (7th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 42.9 rebounds (11th), 11.5 of which have come on the offensive end (16th).
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 43.2 rebounds (19th) and 10.8 offensive rebounds (19th), while the Suns are allowing 41.5 and 11.1, ranking 7th and 9th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	11-10-2	6-6-0	5-4-2	6-3-0	5-7-2	4-4-2
Minnesota	11-10-2	6-4-1	5-6-1	10-7-2	1-3-0	5-5-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	12-11-0	7-5-0	5-6-0	6-3-0	6-8-0	5-5-0
Minnesota	9-12-2	5-5-1	4-7-1	6-11-2	3-1-0	3-6-1

HT/FT

The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 43.5% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 21.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

The Suns have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 11 of Phoenix's 23 games this season. Meanwhile, 16 of Minnesota's 23 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Phoenix recorded a 114-113 victory over Minnesota at Mortgage Matchup Center when these teams last met on November 21. Despite being on the losing side, Anthony Edwards dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 41 points and four steals. That result snapped the Timberwolves' eight-game winning streak against the Suns.