NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets (December 15, 2025)

The Houston Rockets (16-6) face the Denver Nuggets (18-6) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. This contest is a pick'em, with both Houston and Denver at -110 to win. The total points line is set at 237.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-118 Houston.

• The Rockets (-105) have a 14-8-0 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-115) hold a record of 14-10-0.
• The Rockets have a 13-9-0 O/U record this season (meaning 13 games have gone over the total points line and nine have gone under). The Nuggets have a 16-8-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Rockets are averaging 120.6 points per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging 125.5 (1st).
• Defensively, the Rockets are giving up only 110.4 points per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 115.9 points (13th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Rockets currently rank 29th for pace this season, recording 96.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 24th on that scale with 99.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 32.9% of the Rockets' field goal attempts come from three point range (30th in the league), leaving 67.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 42.6% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 57.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Denver takes 38.7% of shots from three (23rd), leaving 61.3% from two, while Houston's opponents are attempting 42.2% from three (16th) and 57.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets are shooting 39.6% from deep in 2025/26 (3rd in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 39.8% of their attempts (2nd).
• On the opposite end, Houston is holding opponents to 34.1% of their three-point attempts (6th), while Denver's opponents are hitting 33.9% of their shots (5th).

Ball Protection

• The Rockets are committing 16.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 27th in the league, while the Nuggets are forcing 12.4 turnovers (30th).
• Flipping that script, Houston is forcing 14.4 turnovers (19th), while Denver is committing 13.5 (4th).

Crashing the Boards

• Houston is pulling down 48.9 rebounds per game this season (1st in the league), including 16.4 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging 40.5 rebounds (3rd), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (10th).
• Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 44.8 rebounds (14th) and 10.9 offensive rebounds (20th), while the Rockets are allowing 37.5 and 11.5, ranking 1st and 17th.

First Quarter Winner

Houston is -105 to win the first quarter, while Denver is -115. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	14-7-1	5-4-1	9-3-0	13-6-1	1-1-0	5-4-1
Denver	17-6-1	8-2-0	9-4-1	15-6-1	2-0-0	7-2-1

First Half Winner

Houston is -102 to win the first half and Denver is -118. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	13-8-1	6-4-0	7-4-1	12-7-1	1-1-0	5-4-1
Denver	17-7-0	9-1-0	8-6-0	16-6-0	1-1-0	6-4-0

HT/FT

• The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 50.0% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 50.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

• The Rockets have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Nuggets have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 10 of Houston's 22 games this season. Meanwhile, 16 of Denver's 24 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded a 112-109 victory over Houston at Toyota Center when these teams last met on November 21. Nikola Jokic came up big on that day, scoring 34 points and adding 10 rebounds. The Nuggets have now won three straight against the Rockets.