NBA Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks (January 4, 2026)
The Milwaukee Bucks (15-20) face the Sacramento Kings (8-27) at Golden 1 Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bucks opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Bucks at -238 and Kings at +195. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 117-110 Milwaukee.
- The Bucks (-110) have a 16-19-0 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-110) hold a record of 12-22-1.
- The Bucks have a 15-20-0 O/U record this season (meaning 15 games have gone over the total points line and 20 have gone under). The Kings have a 16-19-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Bucks are averaging 113.3 points per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging 110.6 (28th).
- Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 116.0 points per game this season (14th in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 122.5 points (27th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Bucks currently rank 26th for pace this season, recording 98.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 10th on that scale with 100.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 43.7% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (15th in the league), leaving 56.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking 40.3% of their attempts from three (11th) and 59.7% from two.
- Comparatively, Sacramento takes 34.2% of shots from three (29th), leaving 65.8% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 43.6% from three (23rd) and 56.4% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 39.8% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making 34.8% of their attempts (23rd).
- On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 36.3% of their three-point attempts (18th), while Sacramento's opponents are hitting 36.0% of their shots (15th).
Ball Protection
- The Bucks are committing 14.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 16th in the league, while the Kings are forcing 14.9 turnovers (14th).
- Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing 14.4 turnovers (17th), while Sacramento is committing 14.5 (13th).
Crashing the Boards
- Milwaukee is pulling down 40.3 rebounds per game this season (29th in the league), including 8.5 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 46.1 rebounds (25th), 11.4 of which have come on the offensive end (13th).
- Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging 40.7 rebounds (27th) and 10.4 offensive rebounds (23rd), while the Bucks are allowing 44.6 and 11.3, ranking 17th and 10th.
First Quarter Winner
Milwaukee is -155 to win the first quarter, while Sacramento is +130. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | 18-17-0 | 8-10-0 | 10-7-0 | 8-8-0 | 10-9-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Sacramento | 11-24-0 | 6-10-0 | 5-14-0 | 1-2-0 | 10-22-0 | 4-6-0 |
First Half Winner
Milwaukee is -192 to win the first half and Sacramento is +160. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | 13-22-0 | 7-11-0 | 6-11-0 | 7-9-0 | 6-13-0 | 3-7-0 |
| Sacramento | 8-25-2 | 2-13-1 | 6-12-1 | 1-1-1 | 7-24-1 | 2-8-0 |
HT/FT
Milwaukee is -155 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +280.
- The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 20.0% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 8.6% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Sunday's matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.
- The Bucks have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Kings have appeared in three.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 18 of Milwaukee's 35 games this season. Meanwhile, 16 of Sacramento's 35 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Sacramento recorded an upset 135-133 victory over Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum when these teams last met on November 1. That result snapped the Bucks' seven-game winning streak against the Kings at Fiserv Forum. Despite being on the losing side, Giannis Antetokounmpo came up big on that day, scoring 26 points and adding 11 rebounds.