NBA Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks (January 6, 2026)
The Dallas Mavericks (14-23) face the Sacramento Kings (8-29) at Golden 1 Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Mavericks are favored to win at -192, currently marked as 4.5-point favorites, while the Kings are at +160. The total points line is set at 233.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 119-114 Dallas.
- The Mavericks (-115) have a 16-20-1 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-105) hold a record of 13-23-1.
- The Mavericks have a 16-21-0 O/U record this season (meaning 16 games have gone over the total points line and 21 have gone under). The Kings also have a 16-21-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mavericks are averaging 113.1 points per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging 109.9 (29th).
- Defensively, the Mavericks are giving up 116.9 points per game this season (19th in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 121.6 points (27th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Mavericks currently rank 5th for pace this season, recording 101.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 11th on that scale with 100.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 35.4% of the Mavericks' field goal attempts come from three point range (27th in the league), leaving 64.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking 40.0% of their attempts from three (11th) and 60.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Sacramento takes only 34.2% of shots from three (30th), leaving 65.8% from two, while Dallas' opponents are attempting a similarly low 37.4% from three (T7th) and 62.6% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks are shooting 33.4% from deep in 2025/26 (30th in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making 34.3% of their attempts (25th).
- On the opposite end, Dallas is holding opponents to 33.2% of their three-point attempts (1st), while Sacramento's opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (12th).
Ball Protection
- The Mavericks are committing 15.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Kings are forcing 14.9 turnovers (13th).
- Flipping that script, Dallas is forcing 13.6 turnovers (24th), while Sacramento is committing 14.3 (11th).
Crashing the Boards
- Dallas is pulling down 44.7 rebounds per game this season (12th in the league), including 9.9 offensive boards (25th). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 46.4 rebounds (26th), 11.5 of which have come on the offensive end (14th).
- Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging 40.7 rebounds (27th) and 10.2 offensive rebounds (23rd), while the Mavericks are allowing 47.5 and 12.7, ranking 29th and 29th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Mavericks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Dallas holds a 4-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-2-0 ATS record and 2-5-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Sacramento has a 4-2 W-L record, 6-0-0 ATS record and 4-2-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
- Notably, the Kings are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Notably, the Mavericks and Kings are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
First Quarter Winner
Dallas is -135 to win the first quarter, while Sacramento is +114. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 13-22-2 | 9-10-1 | 4-12-1 | 5-7-0 | 8-15-2 | 3-7-0 |
| Sacramento | 12-25-0 | 7-11-0 | 5-14-0 | 1-2-0 | 11-23-0 | 3-7-0 |
First Half Winner
Dallas is -170 to win the first half and Sacramento is +142. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 13-23-1 | 7-12-1 | 6-11-0 | 5-7-0 | 8-16-1 | 4-6-0 |
| Sacramento | 9-26-2 | 3-14-1 | 6-12-1 | 1-1-1 | 8-25-1 | 2-8-0 |
HT/FT
Dallas is -125 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +220.
- The Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 18.9% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 8.1% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +1200 to go to overtime.
- The Mavericks have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Kings have appeared in three.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 20 of Dallas' 37 games this season. Meanwhile, 16 of Sacramento's 37 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Dallas recorded a 100-98 victory over Sacramento at Golden 1 Center when these teams last met on January 6. Anthony Davis was prominent on that day, recording 19 points, 16 rebounds and two blocks.
