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NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves (January 13, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (26-14) face the Milwaukee Bucks (17-22) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Bucks opened as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 1.5, leaving the Bucks at -130 and Timberwolves at +110. The total points line is set at 229.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-114 Milwaukee.

  • The Timberwolves (-105) have a 17-23-0 ATS record this season, while the Bucks (-115) hold a record of 18-21-0.
  • The Timberwolves have a 19-21-0 O/U record this season (meaning 19 games have gone over the total points line and 21 have gone under). The Bucks have a 16-23-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Timberwolves are averaging 119.9 points per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Bucks are averaging only 112.9 (25th).
  • Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 114.8 points per game this season (11th in the league), while the Bucks are giving up an average of 115.1 points (14th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Timberwolves currently rank 12th for pace this season, recording 100.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Bucks sit 26th on that scale with 98.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 42.6% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (13th in the league), leaving 57.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Bucks' opponents are taking 43.4% of their attempts from three (21st) and 56.6% from two.
  • Comparatively, Milwaukee takes 43.4% of shots from three (17th), leaving 56.6% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting 38.8% from three (5th) and 61.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 36.9% from deep in 2025/26 (7th in the NBA), compared to the Bucks who are making 39.5% of their attempts (2nd).
  • On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 35.3% of their three-point attempts (12th), while Milwaukee's opponents are hitting 36.3% of their shots (20th).

Ball Protection

  • The Timberwolves are committing 14.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking T9th in the league, while the Bucks are forcing 14.0 turnovers (19th).
  • Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 14.9 turnovers (14th), while Milwaukee is committing 14.7 (14th).

Crashing the Boards

  • Minnesota is pulling down 44.8 rebounds per game this season (10th in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (18th). Conversely, Milwaukee's opponents are averaging 44.4 rebounds (16th), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
  • Meanwhile, the Bucks are averaging 40.6 rebounds (27th) and 8.6 offensive rebounds (30th), while the Timberwolves are allowing 43.3 and 11.4, ranking 12th and T13th.

First Quarter Winner

Minnesota is +100 to win the first quarter, while Milwaukee is -120. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Minnesota 17-21-2 8-12-1 9-9-1 14-16-2 3-5-0 4-6-0
    Milwaukee 19-19-1 8-10-0 11-9-1 9-9-0 10-10-1 5-4-1

First Half Winner

Minnesota is +105 to win the first half and Milwaukee is -125. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Minnesota 17-21-2 9-11-1 8-10-1 13-17-2 4-4-0 6-4-0
    Milwaukee 15-24-0 7-11-0 8-13-0 8-10-0 7-14-0 4-6-0

HT/FT

Minnesota is +150 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Milwaukee is +115.

  • The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 25.0% of games this season, while the Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 23.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1200 to go to overtime.

  • The Timberwolves have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Bucks have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Minnesota's 40 games this season. Meanwhile, 19 of Milwaukee's 39 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 103-100 victory over Milwaukee at Target Center when these teams last met on December 21. That result snapped the Bucks' three-game winning streak against the Timberwolves. Despite being on the losing side, Kevin Porter Jr. was prominent on that day, recording 24 points, 10 rebounds, nine assists and four steals.